I like the Tigers here because their bats are hot right now scoring 31 runs in their last 4 games and they face a pitcher in Carlos Carrasco who is struggling big time. Carrasco has an ERA over 4 and in his career he has made 4 starts vs. the Tigers with a 9.50 ERA. He's never been a good pitcher at home with an ERA over 5.70 and a 5.37 ERA during day starts. Meanwhile Sanchez has a 2.16 ERA during the day this year and a 1.75 ERA in 4 career starts vs. the Indians.
I also like the fact that the Tigers have averaged 9.14 runs and have gone 6-1 in games against starters who are walking more than 4 guys per 9 innings this year. Carrasco has walked 4.26 batters per 9. I don't anticipate him going deep and the Indians bullpen has really suffered of late.
